Sports, Strategy, Edges & Steam Moves - Sharp Betting Unpacked With Dylan From Pinnacle Odds Dropper

12 Sep 2025 • 52 min • EN
52 min
00:00
52:43
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In the latest SBC Podcast episode, I sit down again with Dylan, co-founder of Pinnacle Odds Dropper, to take a deep dive into sharp betting, market efficiency, and the results of our detailed August 2025 review of POD. We explore how the software helps advantage bettors track steam moves, why Pinnacle remains the barometer for bookmakers, and the lessons from analysing 345,000+ logged bets. Dylan and I also share insights on CLV, market limits, niche sports, and the growing challenges facing US bettors under new tax rules. HOW POD WORKS & WHY IT MATTERSThe evolution of Pinnacle Odds Dropper as a top-down “chasing steam” alert serviceHow the in-built bet tracker has logged over 450,000 bets since launchWhy tracking results and filters is critical for advantage bettorsIndependent SBC review: 345,000-bet dataset reveals where edges really lie and on what sports WHICH SPORTS DELIVER THE BIGGEST EDGESBasketball’s “killer combo” of ROI and strike rateSoccer’s vast sample size, overs vs unders trends, and higher ROI on away sidesTennis as a two-outcome sport and why sharp bettors gravitate toward itHigh ROI surprises in baseball and volleyball vs the pain of betting NFL CLOSING LINE VALUE & MARKET LIMITSWhy CLV is the best early indicator of profitabilityAnalysis: positive CLV bets returned +7.7% ROI vs –8.38% on negative CLV betsHow Pinnacle market limits act as a proxy for confidence and edge significanceShould you apply filters or follow Franco’s “bet everything” approach? SHARP BOOKS & MARKET EFFICIENCYIs Pinnacle still the sharpest? Latest data says yes, within 0.24% of perfect efficiencyWhere rivals like FanDuel and Circa are catching up in niche sportsWhy bettors should map out which books are sharp for which marketsThe occasional reality of market manipulation and how to handle it PRACTICAL BETTING STRATEGIESUsing POD with soft books, exchanges, and even in-person kiosksCase study: a hedge fund manager using POD to manage exchange exposureHow successful users treat betting as volume-driven and sport-agnosticWhy bankroll growth depends on embracing variance, not avoiding it FUTURE TECH & REGULATIONThe role AI might play in pricing, advantage betting, and POD’s futureWhy sharp players need to keep experimenting with new tools and marketsUS betting tax changes under Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” and the risk of pushing players offshoreHow bettors adapt to regulatory friction, from crypto books to PPH"s Dylan also shares why Pinnacle still leads the way for sharp betting, how bettors can avoid leaving money on the table, and why adaptability is the hallmark of long-term winners. You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 For more on Dylan & POD Website: https://pinnacleoddsdropper.comTwitter/X: https://x.com/pinnacleoddsdrop

From "The Smart Betting Club Podcast"

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