Predicting the Market with the Wisdom of Crowds | Vuk Vuković | 630

Can social media predict the stock market? Vuk Vukovic, CIO and co-founder of Oraclum Capital, believes it can. His hedge fund leverages the wisdom of the crowd and a proprietary network analysis of social media bubbles to forecast weekly equity market movements. With a PhD in political economics and a track record of accurately predicting elections—including Brexit and Trump—he's now applying his methodology to finance. Vuk started by testing his theory transparently, using his own money and publishing every move in a newsletter. The results? Turning $1,000 into $54,000 in just two years. His audience didn't just watch—they invested. Half of his initial hedge fund backers came from readers who followed his journey. The secret isn't just crowd wisdom. It’s about identifying and weighting opinions correctly. Some people—especially those stuck in echo chambers—make terrible predictors. Vuk’s method filters out the noise, finding the right voices to forecast market trends with over 60% accuracy. Beyond trading, he’s expanding his thought leadership through speaking, writing, and his new book, Elite Networks: The Political Economy of Inequality. By connecting network theory to both financial markets and political influence, he’s building a broader platform for his ideas. Listen in as we explore the intersection of thought leadership, data-driven forecasting, and the power of social media. Three Key Takeaways: • The Wisdom of Crowds Works—If You Filter the Right Voices Crowd predictions are powerful, but only when analyzed correctly. Vuk’s methodology accounts for social media bubbles and bias, identifying the most reliable predictors rather than just following the loudest opinions. • Transparency Builds Trust—and Attracts Investors By publicly testing his trading model with his own money, Vuk proved its effectiveness. His thought leadership strategy—sharing real results in a newsletter—turned followers into hedge fund backers. • Network Theory Applies Beyond Finance Vuk’s research on elite influence and inequality connects directly to his market prediction model. Whether in politics or finance, understanding how people interact within networks provides a competitive edge.