Chuck’s Commentary - Could A Government Shutdown Backfire On Democrats + Trump’s Outrageous Speech To Military Leaders

On this episode of the Chuck ToddCast, Chuck unpacks the latest government shutdown and the political brinkmanship that created it. He explores how shutdowns—once unthinkable—have become a partisan weapon, wasting money while allowing leaders like Donald Trump to punish opponents and play to their base. With Democrats at risk of shouldering equal or greater blame, Chuck asks whether the public is even paying attention, and what role figures like Russ Vought could play in reshaping government permanently. Beyond the shutdown, the conversation turns to the bigger picture: why voters never saw Trump as an aberration, why 2020 wasn’t a full repudiation of 2016, and what Democrats must do to win back Trump voters in 2028. From Harris’s struggle to differentiate herself from Biden to Clinton’s careful dance with Reagan’s legacy, Chuck argues that Democrats may need to admit Trump identified real problems—even as his solutions and behavior, especially with military leaders, remain deeply troubling. Finally, Chuck presents his ToddCast Top 5 senate races most likely to flip parties, answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment, and recaps a frustrating night at the Cowboys/Packers game.  Got injured in an accident? You could be one click away from a claim worth millions. Just visit https://www.forthepeople.com/TODDCAST to start your claim now with Morgan & Morgan without leaving your couch. Remember, it's free unless you win! Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Introduction - Government begins shutting down 01:15 Congress created shutdown conditions for political leverage 02:00 Could shutdown trigger the end of the senate filibuster rule? 02:45 Democrats have always messaged that shutdowns are bad 04:30 Democrats could shoulder equal or more blame for shutdown 06:30 Shutdowns are a massive waste of money 07:30 Trump seems excited for shutdown to punish opponents 09:15 Terrible trend of politicians only governing for their base  11:15 Independents are pretty sour on Trump’s presidency 13:00 Russ Vought at OMB could use shutdown to reorient gov’t permanently 14:30 Big danger for Democrats is whether the public is paying attention 15:30 Chuck Schumer is “Mitch McConnell” level unpopular 18:45 If Dems want to win in 28 they’ll have to win over some Trump voters 20:15 Democrats thought Trump was an aberration, voters didn’t 21:15 2020 wasn’t a repudiation of why Trump was elected in 2016 24:00 Voters don’t want status quo, which is why they elected Trump twice 26:15 Harris needed to prove she was different from Biden and didn’t 27:45 For Clinton to win, he couldn’t repudiate everything Reagan did 30:00 Trump’s behavior in front of military leaders was outrageous 31:30 The military leaders handled the situation exactly as they should 32:30 Hegseth lectured leaders of far higher rank than he earned in military 33:45 Democrats will have to admit that Trump correctly identified problems 34:45 Voters picked “political division” as the 2nd biggest problem after economy 37:30 ToddCast Top 5 Senate races most likely to flip parties  38:00 #1 North Carolina  39:45 #2 Georgia  41:45 #3 Michigan  43:30 #4 Maine  45:30 #5 New Hampshire  51:00 Honorable mentions  51:30 Ask Chuck  51:45 Why is the lie that shutdown is over money for illegal immigrants pervasive?  54:45 Democrats feeling disheartened after talking to Trump supporters?  58:45 Would the country be better off if Trump was reelected in 2020?  1:03:00 Will Des Moines superintendent arrest derail Iowa senate campaign?  1:04:45 Chuck's experience at Cowboys/Packers game in Dallas  1:10:00 It was a great weekend of college football Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.