#271 Meredith Whitney: Main Street Is Heading Into Another Recession While Markets Hit Highs

03 Jul 2025 • 32 min • EN
32 min
00:00
32:50
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Meredith Whitney, CEO of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss her outlook on a bifurcated economy where 52% of households are entering their second recession since COVID stimulus ended, while high-end consumers continue driving economic growth. Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://meredithwhitneyllc.com/ Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 0:54 Macro outlook and consumer segmentation 2:37 Recession expectations for Main Street 4:19 Market distortions and wealth effects 4:51 Dollar stores as economic indicator 6:17 Dollar store vs Walmart consumer dynamics 7:57 Trading down narrative discussion 8:26 Segmented recession clarification 8:54 Housing market outlook 9:23 Worst housing market in decades 11:12 Senior demographics and aging in place 12:32 First-time homebuyer challenges 14:25 Housing bubble discussion 15:29 Avocado toast generation (24-38 age group) 17:09 Experiential spending and lifestyle patterns 19:53 Nation's fiscal picture and debt concerns 22:44 Interest rates and Treasury market risks 24:31 Fed's impossible situation with stagflation 25:42 Rate cut predictions 27:04 Underappreciated risks and Treasury concerns 28:30 Home equity as "get out of jail free card" 30:15 Where to find Meredith's work and closing thoughts

From "The Julia La Roche Show"

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