#233 Michael Pento: The Great Asset Bubble Reckoning is Coming, Why We Could See A 50% Correction

14 Feb 2025 • 37 min • EN
37 min
00:00
37:34
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Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), joins Julia La Roche on episode 233 where he delivers a stark warning about the state of financial markets. Pento challenges Fed Chair Powell's recent victory lap on inflation, pointing out that prices have remained above the Fed's 2% target for nearly four years. He outlines his thesis for what he calls a "triumvirate of bubbles" in equities, real estate, and credit markets, explaining why these interconnected asset bubbles could lead to a market correction of at least 50%. Drawing on his 34 years of experience and proprietary 20-point liquidity model, Pento provides detailed evidence for his concerns while sharing insights on portfolio positioning, the impact of Trump 2.0, and potential solutions to America's mounting debt crisis. Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: https://pentoport.com/ https://twitter.com/michaelpento 0:00 Intro and welcome Michael 0:43 Powell's congressional testimony & inflation criticism 3:02 Fed's $5T post-COVID liquidity & reverse repo facility 6:43 Warning of market bubbles 7:28 Evidence of equity bubble (Market cap to GDP, price to sales) 10:27 Credit bubble & private credit markets 11:24 Liquidity draining from system 13:08 Trump 2.0 impact on markets 14:37 Analyzing market liquidity (20-point model) 18:21 Future recession & $6T deficit concerns 19:41 Potential silver lining: Market reset 21:10 Fed's rate cut dilemma 23:10 Treasury gold revaluation discussion 25:56 Solutions to US debt crisis 28:44 Current portfolio strategy 31:51 Critique of passive investment industry 35:00 Closing thoughts & contact information

From "The Julia La Roche Show"

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